Well, it's been more than a year. In fact, it was quite a year: financial collapse, extraordinary political campaign, remarkable turnaround in Iraq. Boy, what a year!
But now it's time to focus on the upcoming election. It's actually pretty simple: the 2008 election has turned from a referendum on George Bush's eight years into a referendum on Barrack Obama's claim to "transformational" leadership. Consequently, it doesn't make any difference who the republican candidate is. It's all about Obama.
Two weeks ago it seemed to me and to many, many other observers that Obama was cruising toward a landslide victory. Now, it's not so clear. In fact, I believe that McCain will win an unprecedented upset!
So, what has happened? In my opinion the Hillary democrats in several key states are having second thoughts and will, at the last minute, tilt toward McCain and against Obama. This is based on several reports that I have personally received that the Clinton leadership teams in Pennsylvania, Virginia and Ohio (and probably elsewhere), have quietly moved into the McCain camp because of concern over Obama's far-left positions and associations.
The consequence is that McCain will carry almost all the states that Bush carried in 2004, plus Pennsylvania! He may not win the popular vote, but that is meaningless. I forecast 281 electoral votes for McCain, and race riots in Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit and Philadelphia!
No comments:
Post a Comment